2015 FIBA Americas U16 Advanced Stats
We have calculated various advanced statistics for all teams which competed in this year’s 2015 FIBA Americas U16 Championship.
This article highlights certain key statistics. The attached PDF includes additional data. If you would like an Excel version of player statistics, please contact us at LateNightHoops@LateNightHoops.com.
We start off with the top 20 Offensive Ratings (30% minutes played minimum for all stats listed below), led by Minnesota’s Gary Trent Jr.
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Minnesota Athletics: A Leader in Debt
The University of Minnesota has already scaled back its initial plans for new athletic facilities, but many are pushing for construction to begin within the next two months. The (current) initial phase is estimated to cost $150 million.
The U has reported private contributions of approximately $70 million, but much of that amount is only pledged, with agreed-upon cash payments to be made over the next decade.
It appears that the Athletic Department will need to take on more debt in order to move the project forward in the near future. So, what has the U’s debt load looked like as compared to its Big Ten peers in the past and how might things look in the future? Today, we look to answer those questions.
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Ask LNH: Can all Gopher Newcomers Play in Spain?
The Minnesota Golden Gophers will travel to Spain in August for a foreign tour. Based on this year’s roster make-up, we believe this timing is optimal for the program.
Media reports and many fans say that all Gopher newcomers, including transfers who will sit out a year in residence in 2015-16, will be able to take part in practice prior to the trip and travel/play in Spain.
Thus, the question: Can all of the new Gophers really play in Spain?
The short answer is “no. ” Details can be found below…
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Hindsight review: 2014-15 Minnesota Predictions
We had nailed Minnesota’s Big Ten finish for the first few years we made predictions, but failed this past season. They underachieved. We’ll have more prior to the start of the 2015-16 season, but the reality is the defense failed. From a turnover and steal perspective, Minnesota was elite. However, we knew that wouldn’t be enough and it wasn’t even close. The opportunity for young kids to make their mark has never been greater for this program – and there are many new faces. 2015-16, if nothing else, will be entertaining.
Bold: Our preseason comments
The Gophers have a veteran core. Their offensive efficiency can be similar to last year and their defense can improve substantially, but they’ve got a ways to go to compete for a Big Ten title.
Minnesota’s kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency was ranked #43 in 2014-15, which was similar to the previous year’s ranking of #40.
However, the Gophers saw their adjusted defensive efficiency ranking fall from 82 to 106. We talked about it before, during and after the season: Stealing was not the answer. Indeed, Minnesota’s steal rate of 13.6% and defensive turnover % of 24.7% were both elite and far above the previous year (11.5% and 18.7%, respectively), but their defense had bad issues that offset the good.
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Fact Check: Does Gopher Football have the #1 APR among public universities?
A couple of weeks ago the Minnesota Gophers’ football recruiting coordinator tweeted that Minnesota football currently holds a 994 APR score, making it the fourth best in the nation and #1 among public universities.
Then, on May 12, assistant recruiting coordinator John Schaekel tweeted the same thing.
These gentlemen hang out with football recruits and their families. To be able to say the football program has the best APR among all public universities is a great thing to be able to share… but is it true?
Question: Does Gopher football currently hold the best APR among public universities?
What went wrong?
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EYBL 2015 Session 2: Howard Pulley Advanced Stats
Howard Pulley finished this weekend’s session with a 74-70 victory over Boo Williams. Pulley (3-5) had started the session with three losses, but an impressive 13 point, 12 rebound performance by 2016 center Brock Bertram helped propel the Panthers to the win.
Continue reading below for select team and individual advanced statistics from the weekend.
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Ask LNH: Doesn’t kenpom treat all games equally?
This question came in response to our article regarding Wisconsin’s adjusted offensive efficiency. The Badgers now have a positive points-per-100 possessions adjustment of 7.0, or 5.8%, given to their actual per game average offensive efficiency. Both of these adjustments are larger than those given to any other team in the nation.
The answer to the question is “no.” When thinking about kenpom’s ranking system, always keep in mind that it’s a predictive system. Giving more weigh to recent games when predicting the immediate future doesn’t seem odd at all.
Let’s do some quick math to see if treating the Kentucky equally to all others would cause a different answer. Coming into the Final Four, Wisconsin’s AdjOE was 127.5. They had played 38 games. 127.5 * 38 = 4,845. After the Kentucky game, Wisconsin’s AdjOE is 128.5. An AdjOE of 128.5 * 39 games = 5,011.5.
If all games were treated equally, you’d expect Wisconsin’s AdjOE against Kentucky to be 166.5 (5,011.5 – 4,845). The Badgers scored 123.3 pp100p on a neutral court against Kentucky and their 86.5 AdjDE.
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Fact Check: CBS Claims Badgers Scoring 1.28 PPP
The growing usage of KenPom.com by fans and media can be a great thing. However, quite often the commentary from folks regarding KenPom’s predictive system is flawed and illogical.
Just another example is Matt Norlander of CBSsports.com, who this week wrote, “The Badgers have an offensive rating of 127.5, meaning they are dousing foes at a blazing rate. UW’s scoring nearly 128 points per 100 possessions. Unheard of at the college level… hat UW is flirting with 1.3 PPP on a per-game basis is flatly freaky.”
The truth is that Wisconsin’s offense isn’t producing anywhere near 1.3 points per possession. Let’s take a further look…
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