Hindsight review: 2014-15 Minnesota Predictions
We had nailed Minnesota’s Big Ten finish for the first few years we made predictions, but failed this past season. They underachieved. We’ll have more prior to the start of the 2015-16 season, but the reality is the defense failed. From a turnover and steal perspective, Minnesota was elite. However, we knew that wouldn’t be enough and it wasn’t even close. The opportunity for young kids to make their mark has never been greater for this program – and there are many new faces. 2015-16, if nothing else, will be entertaining.
Bold: Our preseason comments
The Gophers have a veteran core. Their offensive efficiency can be similar to last year and their defense can improve substantially, but they’ve got a ways to go to compete for a Big Ten title.
Minnesota’s kenpom adjusted offensive efficiency was ranked #43 in 2014-15, which was similar to the previous year’s ranking of #40.
However, the Gophers saw their adjusted defensive efficiency ranking fall from 82 to 106. We talked about it before, during and after the season: Stealing was not the answer. Indeed, Minnesota’s steal rate of 13.6% and defensive turnover % of 24.7% were both elite and far above the previous year (11.5% and 18.7%, respectively), but their defense had bad issues that offset the good.
Continue reading Hindsight review: 2014-15 Minnesota Predictions
Fact Check: Does Gopher Football have the #1 APR among public universities?
A couple of weeks ago the Minnesota Gophers’ football recruiting coordinator tweeted that Minnesota football currently holds a 994 APR score, making it the fourth best in the nation and #1 among public universities.
Then, on May 12, assistant recruiting coordinator John Schaekel tweeted the same thing.
These gentlemen hang out with football recruits and their families. To be able to say the football program has the best APR among all public universities is a great thing to be able to share… but is it true?
Question: Does Gopher football currently hold the best APR among public universities?
What went wrong?
Continue reading Fact Check: Does Gopher Football have the #1 APR among public universities?
Minnesota: Conference Shooting Splits
In Richard Pitino’s first season, the Minnesota Golden Gophers shot an impressive 52.3% eFG in Big Ten games (#3 in conference). This year that figure is down to 48.4% (#9) and is the primary reason they’re not scoring as well in 2014-15 (on a points per possession basis).
The team’s 3-point shooting isn’t the issue. This year’s squad is shooting better (35.1% vs. 34.5%) and more often behind the 3-point stripe. (37.7% 3FGA/FGA vs. 34.6%).
Minnesota’s 2-point shooting has taken a significant dip from 52.5% (#2 in B1G) to 45.9% (#10).
Continue reading Minnesota: Conference Shooting Splits
Minnesota’s 2FG% Dooms Them at Nebraska
Free throws (9/19 for 47.4%) get the attention from many, but they weren’t the primary issue in Minnesota’s loss at Nebraska.
Although the Gophers could have used some more made free throws in the 52-49, there were more important factors to them losing.
The biggest one factor was 2-point field goal shooting. Their mark of 25.0% (8/32) was the program’s worst performance going back at least five years. Had Minnesota made slightly less than the D-I average of their 2-point attempts (D-I average is approximately 47.5%; Minnesota averages better than 50.5% on the season), they would have scored an additional 14 points.
Free throw percentage is nearly irrelevant to a team winning or losing a basketball game.
Continue reading Minnesota’s 2FG% Dooms Them at Nebraska
Gophers Scholarship Table Updated
The table above has been updated to reflect the commitment of 2016 Michael Hurt and the assumption that Daquein McNeil will not return to the program.
Minnesota: Conference Advanced Player Stats
Notes and details on the Gophers’ team and player stats (see PDF) through the first four Big Ten games are included in this article.
Minnesota’s eFG% lags far behind their opponents, but in two of their four losses the Gophers have shot better than the other team.
at Purdue – 72-68 loss: Minnesota was the better shooting team, but Purdue held slight edges in turnovers and rebounding and a big advantage in free throw rate.
at Maryland – 70-58 loss: The Gophers shot a miserable 36.1 eFG%, the worst performance of any Richard Pitino-coached team (including FIU).
Continue reading Minnesota: Conference Advanced Player Stats
Pitino’s Former PF Excelling at West Virginia
Upon Minnesota’s hiring of Richard Pitino we wrote COULD RICHARD PITINO BRING A STAR FORWARD TO MINNESOTA? (April 3, 2013). The article discussed FIU-bound Jonathan Holton and his JUCO teammate Kevin Thomas, noting that, “[p]ower forward is a position of need for next year’s team and Pitino could potentially deliver in a major way.”
Late Night Hoops visited a Palm Beach State (Fla.) practice several months prior to the article and believed either player could be provide a significant boost to the roster.
As things turned out, Holton wound up at West Virginia and Kevin Thomas at Troy. Let’s take a look at how they are performing this season.
Continue reading Pitino’s Former PF Excelling at West Virginia
Fact Check: Star Tribune on Kill’s Contract
The Star Tribune (link to their article is at the bottom of this article) recently said, “Kill is being paid an average of $2.3 million a year on his current salary and is one of the lowest-paid coaches in the country at a major program.”
This isn’t even close to true. The Star Tribune’s claim is completely baseless and false.
Star Tribune: “For example, look at Iowa’s Kirk Ferentz. He signed a 10-year contract in 2010 extension that paid him approximately $4 million this season. If he were to stay on through the end of his contract in 2020, he is due an additional $21 million.”
The Ferentz contract is about the most absurd single example one could come up when trying to argue that Kill is one of the lowest-paid coaches in the country at a major program.
Continue reading Fact Check: Star Tribune on Kill’s Contract