Marquette’s Dramatic 3FG% & 3FGA/FGA Improvement
Prior to the season tipping off we explained that in order for Marquette to be good, they needed to improve their eFG% differential and that they had the potential to improve their turnover rate differential. So far, so good.
We said, “A net improvement of 2.5% in eFG% differential means a +5.8% and places Marquette in or around the top 35 of eFG% differential, by far the most important of the four factors. Do that, and they are in business even without improvement in rebounding.”
As of today, Marquette has 6.7% eFG% advantage over their opponents (57.9% to 51.2%).
Their offensive eFG% is fifth-best in the nation and 5.9% higher than last year’s respectable 52.0%.
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Marquette’s Defensive Rebounding Remains Strong Despite Size
Entering the 2016-17 season, many were concerned with Marquette’s defensive rebounding and with good reason. A year ago, MU ranked just #225 in defensive rebounding percentage after allowing opponents to rebound 30.7% of their misses. The Warriors also lost their top defensive rebounder Henry Ellenson (24.1% DR%) to the NBA.
Marquette allowed nonconference opponents an OR% of greater than 30.0% eight times in 13 games last season. In 12 nonconference games this year, Marquette has done so only once (IUPUI – 33.3%). MU’s is allowing an opponent OR% of 25.5% – good for #43 in the nation. The two top OR% teams MU has faced were uw-madison (avg 38.9%; against MU had just 29.6%) and Georgia (33.2% avg; 22.9%).
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December Update on Gophers 2016-17
The following is a look at our preseason comments regarding the outlook for the Gophers in 2016-17,
We said: “It’s not unreasonable to set a goal of 9th or 10th place in the Big Ten.”
Most preseason prognosticators slotted Minnesota at #12 or #13 in the Big Ten. We continue to believe the Gophers can exceed those expectations. As of today, Minnesota is ranked #8 in the Big Ten per KenPom.
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Four Factors Differentials in 2015-16; Marquette in 2016-17
This article serves two purposes: (1) it’s a reminder of what matters the most – effective field goal percentage; and, (2) it offers commentary on ways Marquette might improve compared to last season.
Let’s take a somewhat different-than-normal look at what matters to a team’s success. Below you’ll find a graph for each of the four factors that illustrate, by team, the differential in each of the factors vs. their overall KenPom team ranking (adjusted efficiency margin) for the 2015-16 season.
Free Throw Rate
Below shows each team’s free throw rate (“FTR”) differential (offensive FTR minus defensive FTR) on the y-axis and their KenPom ranking on the x-axis. You’ll see Marquette indicated by a red diamond (a 12.5 FTR differential and a 97 team ranking).
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2016 NBPA Top 100 Camp: Advanced Statistics
Recently, we discussed top performers at the 2014 NBPA Top 100 Camp and how they did in their first year of college. Today, we’ll highlight players who met certain criteria during the 2016 NBPA Top 100 Camp.
As a thank you for visiting us here at LateNightHoops.com, if you would like an Excel file of our individual player database that includes advanced stats for all players at the 2016 camp, please email a request to firstname.lastname@example.org.
Safe travels to those traveling to Vegas (as we are) and elsewhere this week.
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Advanced statistics for the 2016 USA U17 World Championship are below. USA beat Turkey in today’s championship game by a score of 96-56.
INDIVIDUAL (click for larger view):
|USA U17 2016
D1 Minnesota Advanced Stats through Session 2 (Atlanta) 2016 adidas Gauntlet
Any questions or comments? Send to email@example.com or catch us on Twitter.
Click picture below to open up in new tab. [Note: Game 7 statistics per adidas have Jack Sorenson and Jack Hutchison assigned to the wrong Jack. LNH has corrected this known error in the figures below]
D1 Minnesota Advanced Stats – adidas Gauntlet Dallas 2016
Attached are D1 Minnesota Advanced Statistics from their 3-1 performance at the first session of 2016 adidas Gauntlet.
For access to the stats, please click on the blue button below [it’s free — we’re just testing the software]:
By the Numbers… Team Comments:
The team’s strengths, on average, were shooting (51.7% to 45.0% eFG advantage) and offensive rebounding (37.4% to 28.8% OReb edge).
Turnovers (17.3% turnover rate compared to 16.2% defensive turnover rate) were especially bad in game 2 (18 turnovers; 26.8% turnover rate), but they rather easily got the win over a poor-shooting Juice All-Stars team whose defensive style forces turnovers and manufacturers steals (23 forced turnovers on the strength of 17 steals in Juice’s first game!).
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