Tag Archives: 2013-14 preview

Gophers: 2013-14 Recap Part 1

Gophers: 2013-14 Recap Part 1
June 22, 2014

Minnesota as #7 in the Big Ten
The Gophers are slotted at the top of the group [#7]  thanks in large part to them returning 2 of the Big Ten’s top 3 returning offensive players. Junior Andre Hollins and criminally underrated senior Austin Hollins are difference makers that can win games for this team.” – LNH, Preseason 2013-14

We picked Minnesota to finish 7th in the Big Ten and believed they would wind up just barely on either side of the bubble. That’s precisely what happened. The Gophers finished all alone in 7th place and narrowly missed making the NCAA tournament. After being named the NIT’s top overall #1-seed, the team finished out the year by winning five in a row en route to the tournament’s championship.

Continue reading Gophers: 2013-14 Recap Part 1

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#7 Minnesota – Team & Player Previews

#7 Minnesota
2013-14 Big Ten Preseason

We see teams 7 through 10 as being very close to one another. One win could mean the difference between the 10th and 7th place.

The Gophers are slotted at the top of the group thanks in large part to them returning 2 of the Big Ten’s top 3 returning offensive players. Junior Andre Hollins and criminally underrated senior Austin Hollins are difference makers that can win games for this team.
Continue reading #7 Minnesota – Team & Player Previews

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#1 Ohio State

#1 Ohio State
2013-14 Big Ten Preseason

It’s a very close call between Ohio State and Michigan State, but we’re giving the Buckeyes the nod.

Once you get past the big names of Craft and the now-pro Thomas, there are a lot of guys who now have age and experience that can be strong contributors this season. Ross (scoring), Smith, Scott (5.1% steal rate), Williams (size, rebounding, shot blocking) and one of our favorites – Sam Thompson (ORtg may decline a bit, but we would like to see his %Poss up to 19% from 15.6%).
Continue reading #1 Ohio State

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#2 Michigan State

#2 Michigan State
2013-14 Big Ten Preseason

A popular pick for national champion and the consensus pick for Big Ten champion, we’ve got the Michigan State Spartans at #2 in our Big Ten preseason prediction.

Derrick Nix
Nix’s rebounding, free throw rate and inside presence is going to be missed perhaps more than people anticipate. Can Costello and others help mute the impact of his absence?

Adreian Payne
Payne had an excellent 2012-13, but just keeping things flat offensively would be impressive to us. We think there will be downward pressure on his ORtg. Other concerns include foul tendencies (which were much improved as a junior) and shot selections. Izzo could probably use the 6’10” senior on the blocks more this season, but we think Payne will much prefer to step out and show off his shot. His shooting is very good, but will he optimize his tendencies to fit this year’s team?
Continue reading #2 Michigan State

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#3 Wisconsin

#3 Wisconsin
Big Ten Preseason

Wisconsin is the team that should change most from last season with regard to offensive vs. defense. We’ve projected Wisconsin’s offense to improve by about 6% while their defense worsens by even more. With the mean quality of the Big Ten’s top half down in 2013-14, the Badgers should be able to fight for third place.

Last year’s seniors: Ryan Evans, Jared Berggren, Mike Bruesewicz
Evans is a part of both the better offense and worse defense projected. He took a lot of shots for Wisconsin, but was a bad shooter. On the flip side, he was a very good defender and great on the defensive glass for his size (6’6”) or really any size for that matter.

Berggren was miserable from behind the 3-point line last year, but the 6’10” big was a great player in most other areas. They’ll miss him a lot.

Bruesewicz had his final year derailed by injury early on, but his hustle, defense and rebounding will be missed.

Sam Dekker
The true freshman put up some nice numbers a year ago, but his minutes weren’t high. We think he can put up similar numbers from an efficiency standpoint this season, but will be on the floor a lot more. We think he’d probably be just fine at a usage of around 24-25% as well (he was just under 22% in 2013-14). Legit.

Frontcourt
Between Frank Kaminsky and others – including freshmen, especially Nigel Hayes – Bo Ryan may be able to lessen the hurt of the departure of last year’s seniors.

Other notes

  • Ben Brust is a great shooter, a smart player and a senior. His usage may tick up 1 or 2%, but much more and we’d be concerned with the impact on his efficiency.
  • Josh Gasser posted an ORtg of 118 as a sophomore before missing last season with an ACL injury. The redshirt junior is back and able to play any guard position. He’s not a big usage guy, but he’s a tough, solid all-around player who can shoot.
  • Traevon Jackson put together several solid performances and should be able to improve on his shooting and turnovers.

Efficiency
Wisconsin shot just 33.0% from 3-point range last season. That’s less than 1% lower than the NCAA D-I average, but you can go back to every season for the past decade and won’t find a worse 3FG% Badger team.

If we exclude the previously mentioned 3 graduated seniors from last year’s stats, the remaining Badgers shot 36.1%. They also get back Gasser who knocked down 42 of 93 for 45.2% in 2011-12.

Accordingly, we’re projecting a healthy increase in the team’s eFG% this season.

Defensively we see challenges in all areas except turnover rate (Def TO% for Wisconsin is also weak).

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#4 Iowa

#4 Iowa
Big Ten Preseason

The Hawkeyes have a wealth of good players and multiple options at each position. The roster makeup is interesting collection with legacy senior Marble, Siena-recruit Basabe,  numerous Iowans, AAU teammates, etc.

Woodbury & Gesell
White and Marble are the most well-known names with good reason, but this pair of former travel program teammates is going to be talked about plenty this season. AJ Hammons gets all the national love when it comes to Big Ten sophomore centers, but Adam Woodbury (and Alex Olah) will earn more respect this season. The 7’1” big man will continue to be strong on the boards, but we also expect his 92-ish ORtg to improve thanks to the strong potential for fewer turnovers, more trips to the line and an increase in FG%.

Gesell, a strong floor leader who is one full foot shorter than Woodbury, is projected to improve in the same areas as his teammate.
Continue reading #4 Iowa

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#5 Michigan

#5 Michigan
2013-14 Big Ten Preseason 

The consensus #2 in the Big Ten is our #5. We think very highly of Beilein, but there are a lot of questions surrounding this team.

Burke and Hardaway
Obviously the point guard position is a concern. Trey Burke was shockingly good. Burke and Hardaway were the only two guys on the team that took a lot of shots and when Burke wasn’t shooting (%Shots of around 28%), he was dishing (assist rate of around 37%).
Continue reading #5 Michigan

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail

#6 Indiana

#8 Indiana
2013-14 Big Ten Preseason 

Indiana’s offensive and defensive efficiency figures will both move in the wrong direction. We project around a 6% drop on offense and almost 4% of unfavorable movement on defense.

Tom Crean has a massive buyout from last November’s restated contract, although traditional media and the masses don’t know this so you may hear some “hot seat” conversations at some point. However, with that buyout Crean and Indiana look to be married for a while.

Continue reading #6 Indiana

Sharing Options:
Facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestmail